Monday 21 November 2016

David Coletto of Abacus Data, like many other professional pollsters, continue to spin their failure in accurately predicting the U.S. election results.

David Coletto, the data-driven strategist & CEO of Abacus Data, like many other pollsters, is scrambling to defend his hit and miss industry after their epic failure in accurately predicting the U.S. election results. He claims, somewhat disingenuously, that many of the polls were correct it was just the interpretations which were way off. Hello? What is the good of pollsters if they can only register data like any, well, abacus, without being able to correctly interpret the data in an instructive or revealing manner? What are we paying them for? Furthermore, this "failure of interpretation" is hardly unique, indeed it has become a pattern. One recalls the Alberta election, of a few years ago, when all the pollsters (even Abacus) were calling for the high likelihood of a win by the Wild Rose Party and the end of a Progressive Conservative political dynasty. Yet, when the smoke had cleared after the election, the incumbent PC's under the hopelessly corrupt and now disgraced Alison Redford, won an impressive majority. In retrospect, some might claim that the pollsters got it right, they just predicted the wrong election under the wrong party, to finally defeat the PCs. http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/david-coletto/election-polls-did-not-fail_b_12943996.html

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